What Happened to Potential Tropical Storm Nadine?

Chances that a low-pressure system in the Atlantic Ocean will form into Tropical Storm Nadine have continued to fall.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has been monitoring a system known as AL94 for the past several days. AL94 originated off the west coast of Africa and has had fluctuating chances of further development throughout this week. It is now east of the Leeward Islands.
Chances were as high as 60 percent this week that the system would develop into Tropical Storm Nadine, but those chances have fallen over the past few days. As of the most recent NHC update, chances of formation in the next 48 hours were low at 20 percent, with chances of formation in the next seven days also low at 30 percent.
Although slow development is still possible, strong winds could destroy the system later this week, the NHC said.
“Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands remain disorganized,” the NHC update said. “Some slow development is possible during the next few days as the disturbance moves quickly westward to west-northwestward around 20 mph, passing near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Friday, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. Strong upper-level winds should end the chances of development by late in the weekend.”
Regardless of development, the system is still expected to bring heavy rain and gusty winds to northern Caribbean islands, AccuWeather senior meteorologist Tom Kines told Newsweek.
“The chances of this developing into a tropical storm or even a hurricane seem to have diminished over the past couple of days,” Kines said. “Having said that, there’s still a window that this could develop. If it’s going to do it, it’s got to do it in the next two, maybe three days.”
The U.S. is not expecting any impact from AL94, which is welcome news for Florida. The Sunshine State battled back-to-back major hurricanes with Helene in late September and Milton this month.
As of Thursday, there are no active named storm systems in the Atlantic, but meteorologists are warning that the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is far from over. The normal season runs through November 30, and conditions are still favorable for storm formation.
In addition to AL94, NHC meteorologists are tracking a system in the western Caribbean that could gradually develop in the coming days, but chances are similarly low that the system will strengthen into Tropical Storm Nadine.